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M&A17 Jul 2026

Evolution kept its margins and still got marked down. The story slipped.

What happened

Evolution reported Q2 2026 revenue of €517.8M, down 1.2% on last year as reported but up 2.4% once you strip out currency swings, just short of the €520M the market expected.

Profit (EBITDA) was €341.0M, a 65.9% margin. Its planned Galaxy Gaming purchase, already delayed to 17 July 2026, is now in doubt. Growth in the Americas keeps making up for a soft Europe.

€517.8M
Q2 net revenue
65.9%
EBITDA margin
+2.4%
constant currency
The data, One quarter, two framings
−1.2%
Reported
+2.4%
Constant currency
Illustrative · weekly model data · sources verified 🟢 / proxy 🟡
The number is the easy part. We give you the read, the forecast, and the move.
Read

A 65.9% margin describes a company that still has strong pricing and a growth engine shifting from Europe to the Americas, while the market keeps pricing the European story.

That mismatch is expensive. The same results told as a shift to the Americas are worth far more than the same numbers told as European decline.

For a market leader, the brand quietly becomes the thing doing the most work once the growth number stops.

Forecast

If the Galaxy deal falls through, the quick route into the US closes and the job goes back to growing the Americas the slow way, which needs a clearer story to fund.

Watch the Q3 guidance for whether management puts the Americas front and centre. Smaller rivals have a short window to attack a leader whose story is carrying more weight than its growth rate can justify.

Companies in this story
Evolution GamingPlaytechPragmatic PlayLight & Wonder
Move, the client layer
The read and the forecast are above. The move, the decision, the action, and the KPI, is the client layer:
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