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Regulatory13 Jul 2026

Same quarter, opposite results: Playtech rose, Evolution fell. Where you sell decided it.

What happened

Playtech’s half-year update on 13 July came in well ahead of expectations. The US drove it, plus strength in Mexico, Colombia and parts of Europe. It guided first-half profit above €155M and raised the full-year figure toward €270M.

This lands in the same period the UK doubled its online gaming tax from 21% to 40% on 1 April 2026. The tax hits about 310 firms.

€270M
FY26 EBITDA guidance
€155M
H1 adjusted EBITDA
40%
UK remote gaming duty
The data, Same quarter, same duty regime
Raised
Playtech guidance
Declined
Evolution reported
Illustrative · weekly model data · sources verified 🟢 / proxy 🟡
Numbers are the easy part. We give you what it means, what comes next, and what to do.
Read

The knee-jerk read of a tax rise is that margins shrink across the board, and the evidence says otherwise.

Playtech raised its forecast in the same quarter Evolution reported a decline. The difference comes down to which markets each one leans on, more than product or price.

So the real question moves from how to swallow the tax to which markets a supplier is over-exposed to. Most suppliers have never spelled that out.

Forecast

The UK tax hits online gaming hardest, so the wrong product mix makes the wrong geography worse for slots and live-casino specialists.

Expect the gap between US and Latin-America-heavy suppliers and Europe-heavy ones to widen through the rest of the year. Kambi’s numbers on 22 July are the next test of whether geography is the whole story.

Move, the client layer
The read and the forecast are above. The move, the decision, the action, and the KPI, is the client layer:
Recommended actionsWatch triggersExposure map